Why Istanbul TalksFailed?

Somalia’s state is a conglomeration of different tribes (one ethnic) with no distinguishing characteristics such as race ethnicity, language, and religion living within defined territory.

The inability of some tribal secessionists groups (Somaliland) within states to partake of the “good life” has been offered as the reason for most of the current conflicts in the Somali’s Northern territory.

The recent Istanbul talks deadlocked after Somali Northern Tribal Secessionists(Somaliland)imposed two preconditions on any deal designed to assuage fears that the SSC, and Awdel politiciansparticipates the talks as Fed delegation members. The NorthernTribal Separatists (Somaliland) delegation demanded that:

1. The Somali Fed first recognizes Secessionist’s right to select the negations members from Fed.

2. And the Somali Fed drops its current members from SSC, and Awdel regions of Somalia.

Considering the trends of activities unfolding in Somalia presently, every good critics observing things from outside the box and through a double sided mirror would be seeing two sides of a socially and politically discontent Somalia seeking for a realistic answer.

Democracies must never give in to violence; including Northern Trial Separatists (Somaliland) must never be rewarded for using it.

In other words, negotiations give legitimacy to Northern tribal Militias(Somaliland)and their methods and undermine actors who have pursued political change through peaceful means. Discussion can destabilize the negotiating governments’ political systems legitimacy, undercut the international community efforts to outlaw unilateral Separatism, secessionism and terrorism anywhere globally, and set a dangerous precedent, in which money continue to exchange hands at greater expense.

Experts in Somalia doubt that the separatists truly want peace. “They are apparently trying to increase tensions,” Somali Politician Analyst, a political science professor at one of the USA Academy, who recently returned from Istanbul-Turkey, told Media.

“Somalia’s Northern tribalsecessionists currently don’t want peace,” he added.

“The Somali Federal representatives truly went a political negotiationthey brought on Istanbul meeting about an undivided Somalia with one nation sharing a common citizenship, patriotism and loyalty, pursuing amidst our diversity, freedom, equality and security for all irrespective of tribe, clan, region, sex or creed; a country free from civil war or any other form of discrimination or domination” He concluded

I think we also have to be very clear about what we want to achieve. Yes, we are trying to achieve an end of violence in Somalia and get a United Somali Federal functioning State. But what we are really trying to achieve is an end to the violation of policies of meeting member representations that we have seen over the past years. We need Somalia’s territorial integrity to be undisputed; we need Somalia to be fully sovereign and independent; we need the border between neighbors and Somalia to be sealed, so that nothing comes across unless the Somalia government knows and approves of it.

We need to end any financial and military aid to the tribal separatist forces (Somaliland Militias); and we need to start focusing on the border of Somalia instead of negotiating tribal secessionists.

Most Somalis to be frank are not very optimistic, and they think the military balance of forces is in favor of Tribal Secessionists Militias right now- But Unionists States like SSC, and Awdel as well – believe that they can achieve their aims militarily, and then they will have incentive to negotiate too.

Somali Fed Government winning strategies could be by providing Unionists States (SSC. and Awdel)with the capacity to better defend their territories from Northern Tribal Separatist militia- what most of Somalis are proposing is very limited defensive military means – then perhaps we are foreclosing the separatists option to achieve what they want to achieve militarily, therefore creating the context for negotiations.